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An Experimental Measure of Poverty

Poverty thresholds were first developed in 1963 by Mollie Orshansky of the U.S. Social Security Administration. In 1969, a Federal Interagency Committee refined her measure and introduced the official measure of poverty that is still used today. This poverty measure has been criticized on a number of grounds, and in 1995, a National Academy of Sciences panel published a report that contained a series of recommendations to improve the measure:

  1. Use an after-tax income measure.

  2. Add the value of in-kind benefits, such as food stamps, to income.

  3. Subtract work-related, child-care and medical out-of-pocket expenses from income.

  4. Poverty thresholds should represent a dollar amount for food, clothing, and shelter.

  5. Improve estimation of geographic cost-of-living differences.

The Census Bureau has developed an experimental measure of poverty that incorporates these recommendations. Under the revised measure, there were 39.6 million persons below poverty in 1998, about 14.6 percent of the population. In contrast, the official poverty measure yields an estimate of 34.5 million persons in poverty, or 12.7 percent of the population. The Census Bureau has developed a variety of experimental poverty measures based on different assumptions about in-kind benefits, geographic variations in income, and child care expenditures. For more information, visit the Census Bureau Web site.space.gif (807 bytes)

       
 
Number of Poor and Poverty Rates Using Experimental Measures: 1998
Number (000s) Rate
Official poverty measure 34475 12.7
NAS a 39587 14.6
DCM1 b 41244 15.2
DCM2 c 39962 14.7
CES-DCM2 d 41709 15.4
NAS-NGA e 40427 14.9
DES-DCM2-NGA f 42422 15.7
a Method based on guidelines from the National Academy of Sciences
b Childcare method based on SIPP
c Childcare method based on AFDC program allowances
d Childcare method based on AFDC program allowances and three-parameter equivalence scale
e NAS measure with no geographic adjustment
f Childcare method based on AFDC program allowances, three-parameter equivalence scale, and no geographic adjustment. 
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Source:
U.S. Census Bureau

 

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